A meteor as big as the city of San Francisco hurtles towards the Earth at 20 km per second, smashes into the tropical lagoons of the Gulf of Mexico and gouges a fathomless hole. As a result, a tidal wave surges outwards. Fires sweep
5 across North and South America and fallout blocks the sun and plunges the Earth into permanent gloom.
This catastrophic event is the classic answer as to why dinosaurs were wiped out 65 million years ago, but does the theory hold water? Everyone agrees that the Earth suffered
10 a large meteor strike towards the end of the Cretaceous period, yet more than 20 years after the Chicxulub impact was proposed as the cause of mass extinction, scientists are still arguing over what really killed the dinosaurs. On one side are the 'catastrophists', who say the impact
15 snuffed out the majority of life on Earth in a matter of months or a few years. On the other are 'gradualists', who point out that the fossil record shows a steady decline in the number of species, starting several hundred thousand years before the end of the Cretaceous period. This is
20 known as the K/T mass extinction, when some 70% of the world's species died out. The gradualists don't deny the Chicxulub impact happened, but maintain that it wasn't responsible for the mass extinction.
The debate between the two sides has been polarised
25 and acrimonious, but thanks to a feat of engineering, scientists may finally be able to find out exactly what happened to our planet on that fateful day 65 million years ago. By boring through solid rock, drilling contractors have pulled out a core, 1112 metres long and 7.6 cms in
diameter, which records the full story of the impact and its aftermath. Geologists (mainly catastrophists, of course) are queuing up to analyse the core. In so doing, they hope to confirm whether the impact was devastating enough to kill the dinosaurs. As Jan Smit, a geologist at the Free University of Amsterdam, says, 'The rocks are excellently preserved and certainly promise some scientific fireworks!'
For the catastrophists, however, there are two big problems. First, they don't know how intense and widespread the meteor's effects were and would have to provide evidence of an extreme global change that lasted for at least a year. Secondly, it wasn't just meteors that were stirring up unrest. At that time, an area known as the Deccan Traps in what is now Western India was enduring one of the most intense spells of volcanism in Earth's history. A 'hot spot' deep in the mantle was producing plumes of superheated lava that burst through the crust, inundating 2.5 million square km of land.
Greenhouse gases and water vapour emerged with the lava and, in 1981, Dewey McLean proposed that the Deccan
50 Traps triggered severe global warming and a mass extinction. In support of this theory, the gradualists point out that this is not the only episode of supervolcanism that has occurred simultaneously with a mass extinction. At the Permian-Triassic boundary 250 million years
55 ago, over 90% of marine species became extinct just as the region that is now Siberia was being flooded with lava,
More evidence emerged in support of a gradual extinction in 2002, when a team of geologists in China discovered dinosaur eggshells in
60 rock layers above the boundary, showing that some species of dinosaur survived for a further 250,000 years after the Chicxulub impact. One thing is clear: both catastrophists and gradualists still have plenty to investigate; the rest of us can just sit back and enjoy the fireworks.